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#problème hayékien

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AI4IT vs AI4Business : le renversement, et ce qu'il fait à vos budgets 2027

In-depth opinion piece published on **sfeir.com** on June 24, 2026, authored by **Didier Girard** (Managing Director, SFEIR). **Central thesis**: in 2024 everyone was betting on **AI4Business** (AI in business processes) as the great reservoir of value; by 2026, the assessment has **flipped** — it is **AI4IT** (AI for producing the information system: code, SDLC, software factory) that creates **measurable** value. The article *grounds* this thesis in the firm's watch: AI4Business disappointment (MIT study "95% of pilots without ROI," contested but revealing; **organizational** blockage / Mollick's Hayekian problem) vs. quantified AI4IT evidence (Salesforce, Intercom, Raiffeisen, AWS/Bedrock, Atlassian, DORA). Mechanistic explanation: **code verifies itself** (compilation, tests, CI) whereas business processes have neither a compiler nor an immediate feedback loop. **2027 budget consequence**: a **CapEx→OpEx** shift, token pricing dynamics (the ceiling rising — Fable 5 at 2× Opus — vs. inference ÷280 and downward pressure from open weights/desktop), and **AI FinOps** driven by **cost per outcome**. Closes with **4 COMEX recommendations**.

#AI4IT#AI4Business#reversal

**Didier Girard** — Managing Director (CTO / DG) de **SFEIR** · ESN française (~1 000 personnes, France · Belgique · Luxembourg · Suisse). Auteur de l'article ; voix éditoriale du cabinet sur la transformation IA des DSI.

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You will know that the AI labs believe in ASI when [they dissolve their forward deployed engineering teams]

Ethan Mollick's (Wharton) consistency test: we'll know AI labs truly believe in ASI the day they dissolve their *Forward Deployed Engineering* (FDE) teams. Public debate with roon (OpenAI) on LinkedIn: roon objects that this is a **hayekian problem** (intelligence does not automatically resolve organizational information flow) and revives the term "**Gentle singularity**". Consensus in the comments: technology is the easy part; internal politics / legacy workflows / contractual liability are the real bottleneck. Marker phrase: *"Curing cancer might be easier than replacing Accenture"*. Epistemic **East Coast vs West Coast** opposition on the trajectory of AI adoption.

#ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence)#Forward Deployed Engineering (FDE)#AI consulting

Ethan Mollick (professeur Wharton, auteur *Co-Intelligence*) — auteur du post ; roon (employé OpenAI, identité publique anonyme, voix influente du cercle accel) — interlocuteur cité ; commentateurs anonymes (praticiens, consultants, chercheurs).